Economic and Social Disparities across Subnational Regions of South America: A Spatial Convergence Approach

Economic and Social Disparities across Subnational Regions of South America: A Spatial Convergence Approach

Abstract

This paper studies the evolution of economic and social disparities across South America. By exploiting a novel multi-country subnational dataset, we evaluate the evolution of the gross national income per-capita (GNI) and the human development index (HDI) across 151 subnational regions over the 1990-2018 period. In particular, regional dynamics are evaluated through the lens of two spatial convergence frameworks. The first framework highlights the role of spatial dependence. Results indicate that for both GNI and HDI there is an overall process of regional convergence. Furthermore, spatial dependence plays a significant role in this process. A spatial error specification suggests that spatial dependence accelerates the speed of convergence in some decades but decelerates it in others. The second framework highlights the role of spatial heterogeneity. Results indicate that for bosth GNI and HDI, the speed of convergence is largely heterogeneous across space and time. Moreover, the dynamics of economic and social inequality in South America are characterized by multi-country spatial clusters that show both converging and diverging trends. Taken together, these results emphasize the importance of accounting for spatial dependence and heterogeneity when evaluating the dynamics of economic and social inequality in South America.

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Carlos Mendez
Associate Professor of Development Economics

My research interests focus on the integration of econometrics, data science and machine learning methods to understand and inform the process of economic growth and development of countries, regions, industries, and firms.