Regional Income Disparities, Distributional Convergence,and Spatial Effects: Evidence from Indonesian Regions 2010-2017

Regional Income Disparities, Distributional Convergence,and Spatial Effects: Evidence from Indonesian Regions 2010-2017

Abstract

This paper aims to re-examine the regional convergence hypothesis on income in Indonesia over the 2000-2017 period. By applying a non-linear dynamic factor model, this paper tests the club convergence hypothesis using a novel dataset of income at the district level. The results show significant five convergence clubs in Indonesian districts’ income dynamics, implying the persistence of income disparity problems across districts even after implementing the decentralization policy. The subsequent analysis reveals two appealing features regarding the convergence clubs. First, districts belonging to the same province tend to be in the same club, and second, districts with specific characteristics (i.e., big cities or natural resources-rich regions) dominate the highest income club. Overall, our findings suggest some insightful policy implications, including the importance of differentiated development policies across convergence clubs and inter-provincial development strategies.

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Carlos Mendez
Associate Professor of Development Economics

My research interests focus on the integration of econometrics, data science and machine learning methods to understand and inform the process of economic growth and development of countries, regions, industries, and firms.