panel data

Dynamic Panel Data Models in Python: From Nickell Bias to System GMM

How persistent is firm employment? Pooled OLS, fixed effects, Anderson-Hsiao IV, Arellano-Bond difference GMM, and Blundell-Bond system GMM on the classic 140-firm UK panel — and how the AR(2), Hansen, and instrument-collapse diagnostics separate the one defensible estimate from four seductive wrong ones.

Bouncing Back Better? Evaluating the Economic Impact of the Aceh Tsunami

Evaluate the long-run economic impact of a localized natural disaster with causal inference in Python. A beginner's replication of Heger & Neumayer (2019) on the 2004 Aceh tsunami, using synthetic calibrated data: dynamic difference-in-differences with pyfixest, an event study with diff-diff, a night-lights dose-response, synthetic control with mlsynth, and Conley spatial standard errors.

The Augmented Synthetic Control Method: A Beginner's Tutorial with the Kansas Tax Cuts

A beginner-friendly, intuition-first tutorial on the Augmented Synthetic Control Method (ASCM) for a single treated unit — estimating the effect of the 2012 Kansas tax cuts on GDP per capita with the augsynth package, from classic SCM to ridge augmentation, with a careful tour of four ways to do inference.

Augmented Synthetic Control for Multiple Countries: A Tutorial with augsynth

A hands-on tour of the Augmented Synthetic Control Method in a multi-country setting with the augsynth package — learning single_augsynth, multisynth, and augsynth_multiout on simulated data, then replicating Papaioannou (2021) on the EMU and productivity convergence.

Double LASSO in Python: Does Abortion Reduce Crime?

Python companion to the R and Stata Double LASSO tutorials — same data, same five estimators, plus a hands-on introduction to the DoubleML library (DoubleMLPLR, DoubleMLIRM, and learner-robustness across LASSO, RandomForest, XGBoost).

Double LASSO in Stata: Does Abortion Reduce Crime?

Stata companion to the R Double LASSO tutorial — same data, same five estimators, replicating the Belloni-Chernozhukov-Hansen 284-control extension of Donohue and Levitt's abortion-and-crime panel with pdslasso, rlasso, and cvlasso.

Double LASSO for Causal Inference: Does Abortion Reduce Crime?

A beginner-friendly walkthrough of Double LASSO for causal inference, replicating Fitzgerald, Lattimore, Robinson and Zhu's (2026) analysis of the Donohue–Levitt abortion–crime question with 284 candidate controls and state-clustered standard errors.

Difference-in-Differences for Regional Data: Did Medicaid Expansion Reduce Mortality?

A case study on the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid expansion --- working through 2x2 cell-means, TWFE, covariate-adjusted DRDID, 2xT and Callaway-Sant'Anna staggered event studies, and HonestDiD sensitivity --- to show how population weighting changes the target parameter when the units are regions of very different sizes.

Six Ways to Evaluate a Policy using R: Comparative Case Studies of Proposition 99

Six estimators in one tutorial --- naive pre-post, DiD, two flavours of ITS, RDD on time, Synthetic Control, and CausalImpact --- all applied to California's 1988 Proposition 99 cigarette tax to see how much (and where) they disagree.

MGWFER: Causal Spatially Varying Coefficients via Panel Fixed Effects

A faithful Python tutorial on Li & Fotheringham (2026) — using a two-stage MGWFER algorithm to remove time-invariant spatial confounders from Multiscale GWR and recover both unbiased spatially varying slopes and intrinsic contextual effects from simulated panel data (225 units x 3 periods).