Growing together? For Indonesian provincial GDP growth, global Moran’s I changes from +0.181 over 2015Q1–2019Q4 to −0.285 over 2015Q1–2020Q2, which includes early COVID. The pattern reversed from positive to negative spatial association using inverse-distance weights. Both reported p-values are 0.010; no uncertainty intervals are reported. The periods overlap and the comparison does not establish causation. Aginta, Miranti and Mendez (2021), Table 2, page 45.
Growing together? For Indonesian provincial GDP growth, global Moran’s I changes from +0.181 over 2015Q1–2019Q4 to −0.285 over 2015Q1–2020Q2, which includes early COVID. The pattern reversed from positive to negative spatial association using inverse-distance weights. Both reported p-values are 0.010; no uncertainty intervals are reported. The periods overlap and the comparison does not establish causation. Aginta, Miranti and Mendez (2021), Table 2, page 45.

Regional Economic Growth Convergence and Spatial Growth Spillovers at Times of COVID-19 Pandemic in Indonesia

Harry Aginta, Cani Miranti, Carlos Mendez
July 2021
Cite Source Document

Abstract

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Type
Book section
Publication
In Resosudarmo B. et al. (Ed.), Regional Perspectives of Covid-19 in Indonesia
regional development Covid-19 regional convergence
Carlos Mendez
Carlos Mendez
Associate Professor of Development Economics

My research interests focus on the integration of development economics, spatial data science, and econometrics to better understand and inform the process of sustainable development across regions.

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